Portfolio & P\&L

Active positions

Each row:

Market	Side	Balance	Avg cost	Spot	Unrealized P&L	Action
BTC > $100k before 2027	YES	205.30	$0.483	$0.62	+$28.20	Sell / Redeem
ETH > $5k in 2026	NO	50.00	$0.380	$0.42	+$2.00	Sell

Balance: on-chain token count of YES/NO (the indexer hydrates cost basis).
Avg cost: weighted-average purchase cost.
Spot: blended price from AMM v4 + best bid/ask on the CLOB (pricing layer).
Unrealized P&L: (spot - avgCost) × balance.

Realized vs unrealized P&L

Realized = P&L from closed positions or redeemed tokens.
Unrealized = not yet locked in; depends on the current spot price.

History - 6 types

Click any row → tx hash on the explorer.

			Cover image
Trade	Buy/sell via Router	`Router.Trade`	32.png
Order	Place/cancel/fill limit order	`Exchange.OrderPlaced/OrderMatched/OrderCancelled`	35.png
Split	Mint a YES+NO pair	`MarketFacet.PositionSplit`	36.png
Merge	Burn YES+NO → USDC	`MarketFacet.PositionMerged`
Claim	Redeem or refund	`TokensRedeemed / MarketRefunded`	37.jpg
LP	Add/remove/collect liquidity	`PoolManager.ModifyLiquidity`	38.png

Calibration - measure prediction accuracy

Applies to markets that have already resolved.

Brier score

The mean squared deviation between the price at which you bought and the actual outcome.

Brier = mean[(outcome - your_buy_price)²]

Example:

You buy YES @ $0.70 → event occurs (outcome=1) → Brier = (1 - 0.7)² = 0.09
You buy NO @ $0.30 → event occurs → Brier = (0 - 0.3)² = 0.09

Low score = accurate pricing. High score = frequently wrong.

Accuracy band

A chart measuring: when you buy at price range X, what percentage of events actually occur?

Your buy price	Actual win rate	Assessment
`$0.30` (low confidence)	30%	Well-calibrated
`$0.30` (low confidence)	70%	Underconfident - you are too cautious; consider trading larger
`$0.70` (high confidence)	70%	Well-calibrated
`$0.70` (high confidence)	30%	Overconfident - you are too confident; consider trading smaller

The app plots your points on a scatter chart against the ideal diagonal (buy at $0.X → win X%). The closer to the diagonal, the more accurate your pricing.

Performance replay

Re-watch your trading decisions over time:

Select a period (7 days / 30 days / 90 days).
Use the slider to time-travel.
Each trade shows: market state at that moment, your decision, and the subsequent outcome.
Insight: did you enter well or too early/late? Did you sell at the top or panic out?

A tool to help you recognize your own biases.

Streaks & badges

Badges are NFTs - shareable and serve as profile signatures. Details: Rewards & gamification.

LP positions

The Liquidity tab in your portfolio:

Each row = 1 LP NFT.
Displays: pool, range, deposit value, current value, accrued fees, APR.
Actions: Collect fees, Add more, Remove.

Details: Liquidity provider.

Export & API

Export tab → download a CSV of all history (for tax / accounting purposes).
Developers can access directly:
- Indexer: GET /api/users/:address/portfolio
- BE: GET /api/v1/users/:address/portfolio

After endTime, not yet resolved

When a market passes endTime but has not been resolved:

Trading is closed; you cannot sell.
Unrealized = cost basis × balance (hold until resolution).
The UI shows a Pending resolve badge.
After resolution → winning YES = $1, losing NO = $0 → P&L is settled.

Rebalance suggestions

The app analyzes your portfolio and suggests:

Which positions have excessive exposure (concentration risk)?
Which markets are approaching endTime - should you close beforehand?
Which limit orders are stale (price far from the market)?

Notifications can be toggled in Notifications & Alerts.